Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, told the MIT Technology Review in June 2023 that artificial general intelligence (AGI) could be achieved within the decade and that superintelligence might follow shortly after, estimating a 50 percent chance of superintelligent systems by 2029. Demis Hassabis, head of Google DeepMind, said in a 2022 podcast that superintelligence is a plausible outcome by 2035 if current scaling trends continue, citing a 30 percent probability based on internal research projections. Jensen Huang, CEO of Nvidia, asserted at GTC 2024 that AI will surpass human performance in specific cognitive domains by 2030 and warned that uncontrolled scaling could lead to superintelligent behavior unless safety layers are built in now.

In contrast, Satya Nadella, CEO of Microsoft, emphasized in a 2023 earnings call that Microsoft's AI strategy focuses on augmenting human productivity rather than pursuing superintelligence, stating that the company measures success by real-world impact scores, not by speculative timelines. Elon Musk, while frequently warning about AI risks, has avoided using the term superintelligence in recent public remarks, instead framing his xAI venture as a bid to understand the universe, with a 2024 tweet noting that the goal is to build AI that is maximally curious and beneficial, not to chase a hypothetical superintelligence threshold.

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